MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5c71ecdf5784eb675261b0c1bc6d5d42ea034a8e72cc7237683bb38c671db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed New York Yankees | 44c | 9,005$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 8,927$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.33 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed New York Yankees | 69c | 2,252$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.57 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 1,458$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.71 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.06 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees | 42c | 1,118$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.16 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 824.54$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.54 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 638.66$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.42 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 635.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.57 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 581.43$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 44c | 562.36$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 509.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed New York Yankees | 41c | 500.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.58 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed New York Yankees | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 440.33$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 425.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 58c | 381.13$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…a58fbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed New York Yankees | 42c | 250.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 229.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 206.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 185.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 43c | 138.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 129.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 121.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 115.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 114.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 95.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 91.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 54c | 84.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 84.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 81.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 79.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 73.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked New York Yankees | 36c | 71.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 66.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 64.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 64.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees | 42c | 57.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 42c | 54.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 54.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 53.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7271…e073backed New York Yankees | 43c | 51.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 51.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 49.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed New York Yankees | 43c | 42.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 42.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 42c | 42.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed New York Yankees | 68c | 42.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed New York Yankees | 47c | 38.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed New York Yankees | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 32.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed New York Yankees | 42c | 24.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 23.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 23.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New York Yankees | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-7.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.