MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x422ed0784dd662b9addd4e28cf2d53060aef569178eebca314672ac04698bd2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 53c | 83,638$44,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,390.35 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Over | 47c | 66,589$31,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,291.91 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 25,631$11,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,706.05 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…6c37backed Under | 0c | 15,793$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 11,053$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,189.95 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 10,532$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.3 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Under | 56c | 7,234$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 6,650$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.12 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 4,250$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.5 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 3,809$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 3,044$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.28 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 28c | 2,865$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.21 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 2,726$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 53c | 2,398$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.01 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 1,258$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.91 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 54c | 1,178$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Over | 46c | 1,110$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.39 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 997.07$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 900.48$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 893.58$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.04 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 613.94$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 544.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…e00dbacked Over | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…14d9backed Under | 54c | 504.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 47c | 500.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 53c | 470.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 47c | 454.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 382.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Over | 45c | 365.31$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 46c | 314.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 302.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 46c | 300.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Over | 46c | 286.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Under | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 47c | 216.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 56c | 210.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Over | 46c | 209.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 56c | 192.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 175$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Under | 20c | 173.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 172$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 66c | 141.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 54c | 118.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 75c | 107.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 53c | 99.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 53c | 94.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…bbc4backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 46c | 84.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 20c | 81.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 54c | 79.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 35c | 77.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 27c | 77.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 31c | 75.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 55c | 73.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 35c | 70.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 15c | 70.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 55.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 74c | 49.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Under | 55c | 47.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 45c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 43c | 44.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 45c | 41.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 40.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 47c | 40.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Over | 45c | 39.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 35.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 46c | 31.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 45c | 28.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Over | 44c | 27.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 55c | 27.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 57c | 23.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…eea8backed Under | 54c | 23.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-7.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.