Euroleague · resolved market
Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c21b6f749f55919c5c497d2ab13ff638011faed1c8568b4a97ead0a16c3b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gran Canariaof Gran Canaria, Basquet Girona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gran Canaria | 70c | 378.31$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gran Canaria | 62c | 378.14$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Basquet Girona | 36c | 274.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Basquet Girona | 41c | 267.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gran Canaria | 62c | 217$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gran Canaria | 71c | 207.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Basquet Girona | 35c | 207.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Basquet Girona | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 186.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Basquet Girona | 32c | 146.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Basquet Girona | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Basquet Girona | 39c | 89.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Basquet Girona | 35c | 65.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Gran Canaria | 60c | 65.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Basquet Girona | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Gran Canaria | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basquet Girona | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gran Canaria | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…393cbacked Gran Canaria | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…5940backed Basquet Girona | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Gran Canaria | 68c | 27.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…78debacked Gran Canaria | 50c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…f4a3backed Basquet Girona | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Gran Canaria | 70c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…2006backed Gran Canaria | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.