Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38653a6d43c8f473301722d0169af307ddd5833053cdd8b7e6b0e7b4ebc1c515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,330,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,280,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,330,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed No | 4c | 124,488$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.53 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…4385backed No | 6c | 44,512$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e559backed No | 12c | 30,282$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…30f3backed No | 10c | 26,611$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 19c | 19,139$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked No | 25c | 17,410$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5a…3d19backed No | 2c | 17,407$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 16,981$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.68 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…2006backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked No | 4c | 13,500$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 24c | 13,000$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.24 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 10,717$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked No | 10c | 10,445$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…8bf1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…f301backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 3c | 9,771$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…3e25backed No | 13c | 9,689$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed No | 2c | 8,460$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 7c | 8,240$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.58 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0273backed No | 16c | 7,164$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 72c | 6,514$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 10c | 6,365$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 80c | 5,907$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 5,774$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.34 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed No | 12c | 5,414$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 5,278$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed No | 0c | 4,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed Yes | 71c | 4,030$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 72c | 3,855$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed No | 3c | 3,500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked No | 14c | 3,462$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed No | 15c | 3,183$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…5179backed No | 14c | 3,140$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…2e9ebacked No | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed No | 4c | 2,996$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 15c | 2,713$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed No | 5c | 2,562$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…0311backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed No | 4c | 2,130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…ad60backed No | 5c | 2,073$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked No | 9c | 1,789$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 13c | 1,722$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.32 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…dce2backed No | 6c | 1,697$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…64aabacked Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 62c | 1,621$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 16c | 1,596$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 4c | 1,472$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 6c | 1,250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…88e2backed No | 19c | 1,245$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 15c | 1,204$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed No | 25c | 1,170$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…9d68backed No | 4c | 1,083$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…e581backed No | 20c | 1,073$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked No | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…572fbacked No | 23c | 980$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed No | 2c | 920$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 904.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked No | 3c | 843.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…a79cbacked Yes | 78c | 823.18$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…f32abacked No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…d691backed No | 5c | 768.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…bd35backed No | 18c | 760.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed No | 5c | 689.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b50…683dbacked No | 25c | 672.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed No | 13c | 630.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee5…2317backed No | 4c | 601.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked Yes | 75c | 590.09$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…3c7cbacked No | 3c | 586.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…d79cbacked No | 5c | 567.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…892abacked No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 28c | 543.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…e8a6backed Yes | 76c | 515.4$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 58c | 514.88$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…03dbbacked No | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…e142backed No | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 16c | 472.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +281.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed No | 3c | 464$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed No | 17c | 444.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…9027backed No | 5c | 421.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…8bd0backed No | 8c | 412.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked No | 7c | 377.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked No | 6c | 374.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e1…1df4backed No | 3c | 367.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…05cebacked No | 26c | 359.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed No | 14c | 357.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed No | 8c | 353.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff4…9a30backed No | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…5c8abacked No | 24c | 332.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…1bfbbacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 14c | 297.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed No | 9c | 286.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked No | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…b279backed No | 7c | 285.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…333dbacked No | 14c | 282.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81a…eec2backed No | 6c | 274$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.