TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Madrid CFof Real Madrid CF, AS Monaco FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed AS Monaco FC27c17,072$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,690.4858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked AS Monaco FC46c6,810$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.565066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf70d…ef69backed Real Madrid CF52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked AS Monaco FC48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Real Madrid CF53c2,744$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.514450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Real Madrid CF54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1505944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf7…9e9abacked Real Madrid CF54c2,214$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Real Madrid CF55c1,827$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.61384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+105.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Real Madrid CF53c1,562$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed AS Monaco FC30c1,250$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.975424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Madrid CF54c1,221$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6460041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Real Madrid CF54c1,204$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.72642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed AS Monaco FC48c1,190$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.532951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Real Madrid CF55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae4…d0d0backed AS Monaco FC46c1,081$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed AS Monaco FC47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF74c914.86$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.231,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Real Madrid CF55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.364717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed AS Monaco FC47c633$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.517946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid CF51c574.33$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…666abacked AS Monaco FC48c503$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed AS Monaco FC48c500$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2387435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Real Madrid CF54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23010543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Real Madrid CF53c469.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.813844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf688…9595backed Real Madrid CF52c454.4$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.11366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Real Madrid CF54c427.55$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3522647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed AS Monaco FC49c411.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Real Madrid CF55c395.91$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.162653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed AS Monaco FC46c369.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8510742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d33…b51abacked AS Monaco FC49c314.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Real Madrid CF55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.732955.2%16 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Real Madrid CF55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.733145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Real Madrid CF54c233.89$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed AS Monaco FC47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed AS Monaco FC47c214.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0422547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x943c…1d17backed AS Monaco FC47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed AS Monaco FC48c212.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked AS Monaco FC48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed AS Monaco FC48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Real Madrid CF52c201.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.922450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed AS Monaco FC48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Real Madrid CF54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed AS Monaco FC46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9225859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Real Madrid CF53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Real Madrid CF53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6810566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Real Madrid CF53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682015%3 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-69.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Real Madrid CF54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Real Madrid CF55c183.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.571752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+62.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Real Madrid CF55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Real Madrid CF55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfe7…676fbacked AS Monaco FC49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Real Madrid CF52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed AS Monaco FC26c129$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1821745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid CF53c111$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked AS Monaco FC47c109$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.373046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF58c107.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7143537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed AS Monaco FC48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Real Madrid CF69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Real Madrid CF52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Real Madrid CF55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458349.4%41 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed AS Monaco FC10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed AS Monaco FC47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4734449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed AS Monaco FC46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.72445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Real Madrid CF78c94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7415938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Real Madrid CF54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Real Madrid CF54c91.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7520133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Real Madrid CF55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Real Madrid CF55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Real Madrid CF55c90.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.910647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Real Madrid CF54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed AS Monaco FC46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed AS Monaco FC22c75.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.334533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc421…724cbacked Real Madrid CF54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked AS Monaco FC33c69.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed AS Monaco FC48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed AS Monaco FC49c59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Real Madrid CF51c57.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1304…cce4backed Real Madrid CF53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Real Madrid CF53c54.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.754037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3f2…9452backed AS Monaco FC46c54.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed AS Monaco FC48c52.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.034755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Real Madrid CF63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Real Madrid CF53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb843…e613backed AS Monaco FC48c49.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Real Madrid CF53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed AS Monaco FC48c45.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cee…1ac0backed AS Monaco FC46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed AS Monaco FC31c43.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.356817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e12…1d18backed AS Monaco FC47c41.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed AS Monaco FC48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f25…dc25backed AS Monaco FC49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Real Madrid CF53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed AS Monaco FC47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8610852.8%57 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…e93bbacked Real Madrid CF55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Real Madrid CF55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Real Madrid CF55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Real Madrid CF51c36.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6923947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed Real Madrid CF56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Real Madrid CF55c33.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb818…e961backed AS Monaco FC49c31.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.