Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ce135a8353c72f46d2f8f5b0e8969262aa80fa3f2302268965cfb798ecfce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 39c | 1,720$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 1,279$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.07 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,059$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.81 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 998.21$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.81 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 640.61$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 38c | 526.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 65c | 415.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 396.34$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.73 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 17c | 353.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 61c | 232.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 182.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 37c | 157.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 61c | 153.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 40c | 133.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 38c | 133.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 57c | 122.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed No | 43c | 115.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 22c | 111.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 37c | 105.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Yes | 37c | 99.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…7d64backed No | 60c | 88.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…c479backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 78.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 56c | 58.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…3840backed Yes | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…1a27backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…3af4backed No | 51c | 43.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 37c | 42.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 58c | 41.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Yes | 56c | 38.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed Yes | 37c | 38.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 41c | 36.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed No | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed No | 40c | 26.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d52…1aadbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed No | 64c | 20.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…b135backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…2c98backed Yes | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.