Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25fa7974e642b955c41b8473e41c145aaffeb44a1cba51b087ef15fb52607d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 45c | 27,018$12,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,859.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 46c | 19,000$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,259.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes | 54c | 13,451$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…f465backed Yes | 55c | 11,835$6,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,451.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 55c | 11,586$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 46c | 10,728$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 47c | 9,400$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 54c | 5,984$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.36 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 5,499$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.9 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 36c | 4,026$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.41 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 3,884$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 47c | 3,677$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.63 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 3,658$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 3,437$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.74 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,845$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 54c | 2,609$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.78 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 2,273$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 1,637$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 46c | 1,425$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 43c | 1,332$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.41 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 1,260$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.96 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 47c | 1,177$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.96 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 1,013$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.79 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 915.32$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.66 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 44c | 909.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 896.48$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 59c | 848.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 806.22$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 54c | 780.44$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 45c | 771.52$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.85 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 53c | 755$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.64 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 45c | 736.92$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.05 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes | 35c | 699.64$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 583.9$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 569.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 45c | 555.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed No | 46c | 516.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 46c | 516.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 54c | 500$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 44c | 478.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.24 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 42c | 477.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 42c | 471.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 465.72$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 46c | 452.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked No | 46c | 436.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 44c | 416.72$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes | 49c | 411.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 55c | 382.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 46c | 380.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 52c | 357.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 48c | 356.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 319.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 48c | 310.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 47c | 309.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 47c | 307$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Yes | 33c | 300.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 42c | 285$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 44c | 281.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 54c | 279.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…463bbacked Yes | 53c | 274.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 54c | 256.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed No | 59c | 253.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 242.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 47c | 230.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 45c | 222.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 44c | 200.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 45c | 198.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 43c | 198$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed No | 43c | 196.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.