Bundesliga · resolved market

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x216b424aeb767265a9b81cc389a8d77353bbaf7c0b8b94f613852a34894a01a9

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,173 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes	25c	49,684$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	75c	24,777$18,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,194.31	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	75c	14,696$10,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,716.16	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	68c	5,204$3,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.63	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	72c	3,762$2,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.57	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	74c	2,380$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.5	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	63c	1,689$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.03	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes	25c	1,632$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No	61c	1,327$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.53	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes	38c	1,313$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	75c	1,269$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.21	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa732…2723backed Yes	25c	1,193$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No	70c	1,128$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.92	94	76.6%72 W · 22 L	+16.8wins	+0.18per pick	59cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	240	50.4%121 W · 119 L	+18.5wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	66c	878.7$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.53	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…7044backed Yes	23c	847.83$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a5…4dbfbacked Yes	62c	833.19$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.58	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No	76c	618$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.32	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	28c	563$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.49	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61b9…8913backed Yes	39c	386.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+49%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	24c	349.41$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.86	569	51.8%295 W · 274 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes	32c	335.51$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	782	48.8%382 W · 400 L	-28.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	76c	318.33$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.95	624	52.6%328 W · 296 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No	78c	264$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.91	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes	25c	254.67$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.67	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8d…81c4backed Yes	22c	248.76$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf2…9112backed No	77c	233.19$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No	74c	222.19$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.77	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	74c	209$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.43	407	44.5%181 W · 226 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed Yes	43c	200$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	26c	195.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c9a8backed No	78c	195.12$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.93	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	77cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes	41c	185$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.85	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No	76c	157.89$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.89	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes	59c	153.64$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.65	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes	29c	150.01$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes	18c	142.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	245	41.6%102 W · 143 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes	20c	118.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes	24c	116.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.87	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	26c	109.61$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.15	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes	47c	101.27$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.91	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes	22c	99.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	76c	99.07$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.78	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No	78c	98.5$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.7	113	56.6%64 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x967f…a5d9backed No	77c	97.79$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	75cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No	77c	95.81$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	214	50%107 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No	77c	90.11$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.73	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68d5…e05dbacked No	77c	89.06$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	75cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	64c	88.28$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.87	398	57.5%229 W · 169 L	+20.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes	54c	85.19$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7f…9da6backed No	54c	70.75$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No	74c	65.42$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.01	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	23c	63.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No	75c	63.1$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No	74c	62$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes	24c	60.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No	75c	56.73$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No	74c	50.19$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	102	58.8%60 W · 42 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes	27c	49.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No	71c	48$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes	29c	48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes	55c	43.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes	36c	40.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	121	65.3%79 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	75c	39.47$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.87	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed No	77c	39.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.17	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No	75c	37.64$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes	29c	36.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes	59c	35.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No	77c	35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No	72c	31.87$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.91	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No	72c	31.77$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No	72c	31.77$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No	72c	31.77$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes	57c	31.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No	71c	31.4$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No	76c	31.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	275	54.9%151 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	71cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	76c	29.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked No	60c	27.76$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.06	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+48%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	76c	27.47$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	71cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked No	78c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No	77c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	95	64.2%61 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No	76c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	75c	24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event