Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b67ea2dd3f1583422c86a78e0cfc3511c26116b2abe106edd0b35e7d609aad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 77,239$60,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,458.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 53,777$39,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,989.07 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 74c | 24,005$17,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 21,956$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.42 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 27c | 20,670$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.67 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 30c | 15,816$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 25c | 15,026$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.43 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 12,640$9,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.52 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 12,140$9,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.77 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 73c | 9,909$7,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.31 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 9,016$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.58 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…1c59backed Yes | 11c | 8,630$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 25c | 8,223$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.22 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 30c | 7,909$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.48 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…da2fbacked Yes | 21c | 7,825$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +284.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 73c | 7,400$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 27c | 7,083$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 25c | 6,075$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.04 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…688abacked Yes | 17c | 4,477$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…5cf2backed Yes | 27c | 4,450$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 23c | 4,128$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 75c | 4,094$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 26c | 4,015$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.95 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 75c | 3,958$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.49 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 26c | 3,802$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.46 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 13c | 3,792$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,524$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.33 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 75c | 3,400$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 3,161$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.42 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 32c | 3,063$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 2,924$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.76 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 2,904$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.05 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 11c | 2,765$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 25c | 2,587$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.64 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 73c | 2,117$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.47 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 75c | 2,026$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 1,959$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.33 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 27c | 1,948$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…b274backed Yes | 26c | 1,903$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 20c | 1,787$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.69 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 75c | 1,551$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.66 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,480$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 26c | 1,470$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 1,459$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.35 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 27c | 1,445$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.02 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 16c | 1,433$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 1,372$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 28c | 1,266$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 29c | 1,155$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.09 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed Yes | 29c | 1,155$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Yes | 27c | 1,124$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…8859backed Yes | 17c | 1,109$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bffbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…4afabacked No | 75c | 1,029$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 76c | 1,014$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 76c | 1,004$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 284 | 35.9%102 W · 182 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed No | 73c | 999$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 15c | 977.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Yes | 27c | 916.59$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 26c | 904.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 862.91$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 819.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 791.28$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.82 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…186fbacked Yes | 12c | 786.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…2b8ebacked Yes | 19c | 769.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 25c | 756.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…373cbacked Yes | 26c | 756$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 24c | 749.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 721.91$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 710.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 26c | 690.41$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1757backed Yes | 21c | 668.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 20c | 667.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 28c | 635.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…5c04backed Yes | 12c | 627.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 26c | 610.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked Yes | 25c | 593.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 574.04$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 26c | 554.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 32c | 541.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 539.32$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Yes | 26c | 525.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 35c | 523.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…4019backed Yes | 26c | 518.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Yes | 23c | 515.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Yes | 23c | 496.23$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 75c | 465.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?No won
- Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.