Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcc59400390f5c60dd422e3366d78a969a9e1a7f1bdfbf26d006ca4e3a7f420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 32,187$17,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,302.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 21,879$12,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,152.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 47c | 20,224$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,718.59 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 53c | 19,900$10,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,546.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 17,594$12,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,374.83 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 15,230$8,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.48 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yes | 46c | 14,400$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,775.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 11,512$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 46c | 11,294$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 8,628$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.42 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 47c | 6,219$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.04 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 5,964$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.92 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 54c | 4,729$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 54c | 4,127$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.23 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 46c | 3,870$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.81 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 54c | 3,568$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.58 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…3f0abacked Yes | 37c | 3,497$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 54c | 2,961$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.35 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 4c | 2,948$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 48c | 2,723$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.93 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Yes | 47c | 2,662$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.05 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 47c | 2,568$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 37c | 2,405$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.74 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 20c | 2,380$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…1c59backed No | 35c | 2,190$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 49c | 2,109$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.17 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,063$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.36 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,999$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.41 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 42c | 1,930$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.63 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 39c | 1,919$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.21 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 58c | 1,868$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.61 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,503$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.7 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 46c | 1,498$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.98 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 47c | 1,442$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.26 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 1,414$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 1,367$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.07 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 46c | 1,364$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,355$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 44c | 1,318$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.98 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,240$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 48c | 1,184$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae14…89e5backed Yes | 47c | 1,113$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,063$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed No | 15c | 1,050$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 47c | 1,048$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…98edbacked Yes | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,013$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.94 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 998.84$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.71 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 54c | 920.45$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.05 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked No | 13c | 863.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 46c | 841.39$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 46c | 841.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Yes | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 52c | 818.49$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 805.06$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.03 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…516dbacked Yes | 47c | 792.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 68c | 786.08$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 693.91$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…a715backed Yes | 75c | 691.89$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 55c | 689.61$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.28 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Yes | 62c | 686$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…f9bfbacked Yes | 48c | 674.91$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…d412backed Yes | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 46c | 642.46$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 35c | 634.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.82 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…c29bbacked Yes | 47c | 632.13$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 47c | 627.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 36c | 613.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 553.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1644…0695backed Yes | 53c | 550.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Yes | 32c | 537.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed No | 54c | 529.29$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 68c | 505.2$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 55c | 499.96$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 53c | 492.53$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 75c | 492.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 486.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf88…fcb0backed No | 52c | 480.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…0e1dbacked No | 53c | 467.33$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 47c | 457.55$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.