Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe4d9b3591b56e37978456dd6b362bde470ea89fa076274860d08e469541c55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 31,801$17,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,767.93 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 18,293$9,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,671.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 27c | 7,017$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 4,841$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.03 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 4,160$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 26c | 3,086$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.86 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 29c | 2,573$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…1d83backed No | 58c | 2,138$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Yes | 29c | 1,660$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Yes | 42c | 1,443$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 62c | 1,130$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.85 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 1,108$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.7 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…4f26backed Yes | 28c | 1,097$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 72c | 1,012$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 1,010$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 77c | 999.55$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.11 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 49c | 781.84$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 779.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…551dbacked Yes | 59c | 704.78$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 23c | 572.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 46c | 528.14$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 494.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 29c | 472.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…d75ebacked Yes | 65c | 449.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 442.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 72c | 401.15$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…7445backed No | 72c | 401.05$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 16c | 397.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 25c | 391.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…a715backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 28c | 362.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 60c | 341.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes | 28c | 336.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 67c | 333.66$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 29c | 331.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 320.88$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 293.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…6946backed No | 76c | 282.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Yes | 29c | 264.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 259.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 30c | 249.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 32c | 246.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked Yes | 29c | 243.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 13c | 225.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 29c | 219.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Yes | 38c | 216.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 72c | 208.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Yes | 42c | 196$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 147.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 21c | 145.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 31c | 143.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed No | 72c | 142.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed No | 69c | 141.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 29c | 138.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 148 | 31.8%47 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…1839backed Yes | 28c | 136.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Yes | 28c | 136.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 57c | 131.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…f749backed Yes | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed No | 68c | 113.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 38c | 103.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 72c | 99.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 89.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Yes | 75c | 87.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 83.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed No | 45c | 82.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…3f6dbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…51ecbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed No | 56c | 73.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 29c | 71.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…0ef4backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 74c | 67.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 55c | 53.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 71c | 50.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 74c | 50.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 71c | 49.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?this page
- Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.