CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc1319107d2642c2c05bab800205c6df009d5e9b2530f63d13a0fbaded347a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of NIP, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed K27 | 41c | 82,164$33,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,822.32 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 60c | 43,243$25,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,945.91 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed NIP | 58c | 33,388$19,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,491.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP | 60c | 33,011$19,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,769.2 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed NIP | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 40c | 24,080$9,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,534.61 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked K27 | 63c | 20,217$12,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.79 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 46c | 17,489$7,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,513.61 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked NIP | 60c | 15,000$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,049.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked K27 | 66c | 10,495$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.54 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 46c | 10,268$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.25 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed K27 | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked K27 | 40c | 9,455$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NIP | 60c | 9,000$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed K27 | 54c | 8,971$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.37 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed K27 | 40c | 7,469$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.43 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…d6fabacked K27 | 33c | 7,152$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NIP | 59c | 6,077$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.45 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked K27 | 40c | 5,950$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.64 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed NIP | 49c | 5,421$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.82 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 47c | 5,405$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.55 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NIP | 39c | 5,242$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.8 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed K27 | 49c | 5,058$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.58 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 59c | 4,573$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.02 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 48c | 4,351$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.49 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 41c | 4,050$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.74 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked K27 | 41c | 4,048$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.47 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 48c | 4,010$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.82 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked K27 | 54c | 3,649$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.04 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed K27 | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 50c | 3,455$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.07 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked NIP | 41c | 3,415$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.44 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8b5abacked NIP | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NIP | 51c | 3,019$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.75 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed K27 | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked K27 | 41c | 2,963$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.68 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 59c | 2,830$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.63 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked K27 | 53c | 2,826$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked K27 | 59c | 2,554$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.99 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed K27 | 40c | 2,549$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.31 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 60c | 2,518$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NIP | 56c | 2,500$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.43 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked NIP | 59c | 2,211$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 156 | 58.3%91 W · 65 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed NIP | 44c | 2,112$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.61 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked NIP | 46c | 2,035$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.64 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked NIP | 61c | 2,033$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.41 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed K27 | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…0bfcbacked K27 | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed K27 | 57c | 1,986$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.73 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 44c | 1,921$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.54 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked NIP | 57c | 1,798$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.93 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 40c | 1,766$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.4 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked K27 | 42c | 1,740$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.32 | 226 | 41.2%93 W · 133 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed K27 | 40c | 1,726$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.73 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed K27 | 59c | 1,684$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.53 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…438fbacked NIP | 68c | 1,668$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed K27 | 41c | 1,650$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.5 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked K27 | 41c | 1,576$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.57 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked K27 | 54c | 1,553$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.7 | 365 | 40%146 W · 219 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed K27 | 39c | 1,552$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.64 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked NIP | 47c | 1,522$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.99 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 56c | 1,500$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.51 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…9378backed NIP | 61c | 1,492$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NIP | 41c | 1,486$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.01 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked K27 | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked K27 | 38c | 1,400$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed K27 | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed K27 | 40c | 1,261$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.87 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed K27 | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 324 | 61.4%199 W · 125 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed K27 | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.99 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed K27 | 46c | 1,193$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.18 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked K27 | 48c | 1,176$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.24 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked K27 | 39c | 1,161$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.48 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NIP | 32c | 1,144$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.15 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 44c | 1,127$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.13 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 44c | 1,127$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.92 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked K27 | 55c | 1,103$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.65 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed K27 | 54c | 1,032$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 59c | 1,030$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.89 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed NIP | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed NIP | 73c | 1,008$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.62 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed K27 | 40c | 999.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 44c | 999.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed K27 | 40c | 988.86$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.9 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed K27 | 45c | 880$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.8 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked NIP | 49c | 850$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed K27 | 39c | 833.33$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.33 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked K27 | 47c | 820$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked NIP | 33c | 780.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed K27 | 59c | 756.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed K27 | 46c | 749.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed K27 | 28c | 738$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 45c | 726.13$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.77 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed K27 | 42c | 720.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.19 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed NIP | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…3795backed NIP | 46c | 699.49$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 58c | 694.58$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed NIP | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 492 | 51%251 W · 241 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed NIP | 61c | 634.98$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.