CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb3e0676fbe753973b84be80d1407aa44b306595f7d8e3290a97c84f0577761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Over | 49c | 554.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 51c | 470$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 185.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed Over | 49c | 150.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 137.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 50c | 98.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 76.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 54c | 67.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 65.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 40c | 63.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 56.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 50c | 56.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Under | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…4be5backed Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 55c | 31.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -79%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.