CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c84c9b261440bb0470e3159dbb6029ae2c52b7aad59a10cd8ee6dd6c95775f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of NIP, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked K27 | 64c | 25,841$16,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,354.4 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 46c | 15,823$7,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,593.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NIP | 21c | 6,795$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.86 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked K27 | 39c | 4,604$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.47 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 75c | 4,287$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.18 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed NIP | 25c | 4,000$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.29 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked K27 | 75c | 3,286$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.34 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed NIP | 66c | 3,026$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 48c | 2,745$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed K27 | 57c | 2,359$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.28 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 52c | 2,288$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.68 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed K27 | 48c | 2,280$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 51c | 2,097$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 44c | 1,798$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.83 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 44c | 1,500$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.55 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed NIP | 52c | 1,445$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.46 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 34c | 1,375$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed NIP | 23c | 1,263$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.37 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed K27 | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed K27 | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 45c | 1,100$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.54 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 39c | 1,066$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.64 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed K27 | 67c | 992.76$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed K27 | 51c | 987.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.94 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked NIP | 56c | 957.66$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.29 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed K27 | 71c | 938.9$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked K27 | 72c | 899.99$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 39c | 877.73$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 45c | 848.83$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed K27 | 54c | 717.39$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.62 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 65c | 710.8$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 45c | 679.58$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.82 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked NIP | 29c | 662.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed K27 | 58c | 661$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP | 33c | 629.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed K27 | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed NIP | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed NIP | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked NIP | 47c | 574.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked K27 | 43c | 539.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.29 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked K27 | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 37c | 507.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…11a5backed K27 | 79c | 503.51$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 57c | 493.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 33c | 475$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked K27 | 53c | 465.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed K27 | 59c | 440.3$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed K27 | 50c | 434.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked K27 | 48c | 425.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed NIP | 57c | 403.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed K27 | 57c | 326.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…262dbacked K27 | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed K27 | 76c | 313$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 51c | 309.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed NIP | 24c | 308$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed NIP | 46c | 302$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed K27 | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NIP | 72c | 299.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…2367backed NIP | 50c | 298.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked NIP | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed K27 | 14c | 283.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed NIP | 29c | 267.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked K27 | 59c | 264.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NIP | 38c | 263.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed K27 | 72c | 256.86$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed K27 | 20c | 256.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked NIP | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed K27 | 61c | 221.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed K27 | 55c | 216.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked NIP | 57c | 214.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked K27 | 70c | 206.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked NIP | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed K27 | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K27 | 72c | 195.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed NIP | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed NIP | 57c | 180.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NIP | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked K27 | 34c | 175$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked K27 | 58c | 173.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked K27 | 57c | 173.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27 | 56c | 172.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP | 40c | 166.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed NIP | 22c | 160.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed K27 | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked K27 | 44c | 138.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed K27 | 56c | 138$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked NIP | 43c | 135.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 366 | 39.9%146 W · 220 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked NIP | 41c | 131.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed K27 | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked NIP | 57c | 127.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed NIP | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed K27 | 13c | 115$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed K27 | 34c | 114$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked NIP | 53c | 112.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed NIP | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked K27 | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed K27 | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.