CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a243bf50f65781e5146ac5968d37b890273d5646943ba63b1e102aacbf8cf69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 66c | 6,778$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.65 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 36c | 3,837$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 24c | 3,212$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked NIP | 55c | 2,506$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.9 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 41c | 2,173$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed K27 | 19c | 2,169$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.47 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 29c | 2,112$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.23 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 31c | 2,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked K27 | 37c | 1,852$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 66c | 1,510$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 27c | 1,462$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked K27 | 34c | 1,415$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.01 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked K27 | 35c | 1,288$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed K27 | 25c | 1,223$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 68c | 1,202$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed K27 | 19c | 1,161$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked NIP | 64c | 1,016$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed K27 | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed NIP | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed NIP | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked NIP | 66c | 919.99$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b807backed NIP | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 35c | 742.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NIP | 62c | 728.95$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked K27 | 4c | 727.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed K27 | 35c | 721.65$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed NIP | 72c | 699.99$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked K27 | 24c | 696.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…262dbacked K27 | 46c | 685.33$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 64c | 632.94$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed K27 | 27c | 626.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed K27 | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed K27 | 35c | 587.87$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed NIP | 54c | 570.39$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked K27 | 29c | 526.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked NIP | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed K27 | 13c | 472.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 57c | 432$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 19c | 431.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed NIP | 56c | 423.51$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed K27 | 15c | 421.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked NIP | 63c | 412.07$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked K27 | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…e3cabacked K27 | 13c | 382.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NIP | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed K27 | 33c | 350.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed NIP | 65c | 330.61$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed K27 | 16c | 330$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed NIP | 64c | 322.45$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked NIP | 78c | 304.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked K27 | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed NIP | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed NIP | 72c | 279.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed NIP | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed NIP | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed K27 | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed K27 | 40c | 217$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed NIP | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed K27 | 12c | 201.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked NIP | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed NIP | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed K27 | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed K27 | 33c | 184.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked NIP | 67c | 162.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP | 74c | 160$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked K27 | 21c | 158.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 34c | 158.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked NIP | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked K27 | 24c | 151.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed K27 | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked K27 | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed K27 | 35c | 137.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…b585backed K27 | 14c | 116.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed NIP | 66c | 113.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 22c | 106.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 33c | 106.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed K27 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked NIP | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed K27 | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…7ecbbacked K27 | 38c | 97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed K27 | 39c | 88.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed K27 | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked K27 | 41c | 82.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked NIP | 61c | 80.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed NIP | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed NIP | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked NIP | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked NIP | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed NIP | 66c | 75.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed NIP | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee9…7e08backed K27 | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed K27 | 34c | 65.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed K27 | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked NIP | 55c | 63.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…8148backed NIP | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked K27 | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NIP | 64c | 48.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed K27 | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed NIP | 65c | 42.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed K27 | 27c | 41.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.