Europa Conference League · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef7dd1232c7f430472b2deb842f6d9689ffd076bdefe067110afdf8139eed54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,056 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,585$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 2,016$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 649.06$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bce…a18cbacked Yes | 49c | 507.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 48c | 504.04$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 42c | 469.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 461.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 53c | 442.87$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 274.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 260.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 46c | 231.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 138.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 52c | 137.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…2fbfbacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 124.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 54c | 120.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…b090backed Yes | 48c | 108.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 49c | 102.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…538cbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 53c | 92.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Yes | 48c | 67.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 64.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 53c | 61.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…d314backed Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 54c | 30.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 54c | 30.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 48c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…662ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.