TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,239 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over75c273,126$205,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,376.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under25c198,688$49,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,015.637160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c42,893$11,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,541.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under44c25,189$11,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,105.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under25c19,925$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,910.5215244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over56c7,081$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over56c4,426$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c4,422$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.061,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over56c4,122$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.177358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under45c3,263$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.929137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over55c2,080$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over56c2,008$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.3321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c1,718$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under48c1,431$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c1,224$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over31c1,147$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over48c1,033$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.631361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c991.26$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.371872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over52c953.14$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.638033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under28c762.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.046924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c762.51$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.517552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under67c742.83$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c714.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under46c651.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3524748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c560.47$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8833148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under27c544.95$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over56c531.09$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.411910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-68.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under29c515.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over36c453.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.569937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over55c450.61$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.839154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over60c450$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under44c446.48$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.145862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over56c354.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.284365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c328.55$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Under27c318.16$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+166.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c281$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over18c263.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.75119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over77c258.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c256.36$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under45c220.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1613946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under77c220$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.610353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over55c216.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c209.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Under79c198.84$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over22c198.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7411127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under60c198.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.334062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Under49c192.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over56c191.94$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4819542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.134344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under26c189.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.173268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under45c187.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over56c177.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Over56c177.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.142552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under70c156.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.478856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over34c145.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6113142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under69c142.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over29c142.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8411136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over21c142.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.833847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over30c132.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over56c131$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.362055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under29c126.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.13580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under43c117.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.74845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over58c108.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under23c108.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.184146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under25c107.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2228445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over19c104.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under40c104.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.926863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over49c101.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.578158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over55c99.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.521650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over55c96.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.843953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over56c91.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.442931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over56c88.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.575653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under28c85.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5224955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c84.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over40c81.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.725644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…2139backed Under25c81.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under63c80.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over20c78.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.918242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under64c77.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Over26c76.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8710147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over56c73.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.223740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over35c72.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over44c72.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7215648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over53c71.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.832250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over56c70.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6610566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over56c70.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.95558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd20…d9eabacked Under50c69.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over30c66.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8510951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over18c64.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.836349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over56c61.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under44c61.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over21c61.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.969056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over33c59.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4339740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c55.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4213445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.