Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8656cdb5ccbb22acc913c9f8db3764c9dc107903f65d1152675919cce908e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,239 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 75c | 273,126$205,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,376.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 25c | 198,688$49,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,015.63 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 42,893$11,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,541.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 44c | 25,189$11,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,105.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 25c | 19,925$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,910.52 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 56c | 7,081$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 56c | 4,426$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 4,422$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.06 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 56c | 4,122$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.17 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 45c | 3,263$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.92 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 55c | 2,080$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 56c | 2,008$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.33 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 1,718$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.83 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 1,224$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.32 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Over | 31c | 1,147$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 991.26$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 28c | 762.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 762.51$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 742.83$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.88 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 714.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 46c | 651.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 560.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.88 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 27c | 544.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 56c | 531.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 29c | 515.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 453.57$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 55c | 450.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 60c | 450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 44c | 446.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 56c | 354.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 328.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Under | 27c | 318.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 281$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 18c | 263.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over | 77c | 258.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 256.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 55c | 216.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 209.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Under | 79c | 198.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 22c | 198.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 60c | 198.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 49c | 192.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 56c | 191.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 26c | 189.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 187.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Over | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 70c | 156.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 145.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 69c | 142.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 29c | 142.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 21c | 142.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 30c | 132.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 56c | 131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 29c | 126.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 43c | 117.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 58c | 108.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 23c | 108.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 25c | 107.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 19c | 104.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 40c | 104.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 49c | 101.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 55c | 99.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 55c | 96.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 56c | 91.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 28c | 85.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 84.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 40c | 81.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…2139backed Under | 25c | 81.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 63c | 80.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 78.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 64c | 77.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Over | 26c | 76.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 56c | 73.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 72.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 72.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 71.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 56c | 70.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 56c | 70.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d9eabacked Under | 50c | 69.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 30c | 66.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 18c | 64.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 56c | 61.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 61.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 61.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 59.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 55.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.