Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9171914fc9a16d66ffe38132d549ade34372af1432cf0e457afc9f0eb654aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 69c | 9,454$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 9,256$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 6,282$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 50c | 5,857$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 12c | 2,975$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.82 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 34c | 2,043$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.66 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 66c | 1,863$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 53c | 1,311$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Over | 34c | 875.42$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 840.11$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.32 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Under | 68c | 729.69$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 33c | 601.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 77c | 596.28$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 34c | 583.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 551.45$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 547.25$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 15c | 499.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 498.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 50c | 491.47$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 34c | 437.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 336.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 313.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 36c | 275.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 66c | 264.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed Over | 47c | 249$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 227.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 34c | 208.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0425backed Over | 33c | 205.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 66c | 204$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 67c | 198.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 198.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 64c | 189.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 63c | 129.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 63c | 126.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 121.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 32c | 102.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Over | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 92.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 29c | 88.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 88.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 55c | 79.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 34c | 70.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed Under | 52c | 69.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 28c | 67.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 69c | 61.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 67c | 60.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 60.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 34c | 58.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 37c | 56.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 30c | 52.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Under | 68c | 43.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 31c | 41.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 41.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Under | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 32c | 31.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.