Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212b7e3b40211745661378ef710a5119524450db4919241f3373db3aefe44a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACF Fiorentinaof FC Internazionale Milano, ACF Fiorentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,273 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed FC Internazionale Milano | 4c | 45,900$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.92 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 12,517$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 4,158$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked ACF Fiorentina | 65c | 3,644$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.33 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 2,740$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed ACF Fiorentina | 65c | 1,555$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 1,265$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.7 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed ACF Fiorentina | 65c | 1,223$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.13 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 808.36$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed FC Internazionale Milano | 33c | 777.28$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 763.87$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 747.84$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 55c | 653.49$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.95 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 398.84$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 324.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 303.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed FC Internazionale Milano | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed ACF Fiorentina | 65c | 271$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 269.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 268.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 254.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ACF Fiorentina | 65c | 183.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed FC Internazionale Milano | 55c | 181.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 165.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 21c | 154.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Internazionale Milano | 33c | 152.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 150.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 141.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 119.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 119.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 113.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 33c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 88.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 82.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 72.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed ACF Fiorentina | 67c | 60.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 58.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 57.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 56.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 56.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 56.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 55.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 55.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 50.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 48.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FC Internazionale Milano | 34c | 43.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…e4a0backed FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 42.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Internazionale Milano | 40c | 36.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed ACF Fiorentina | 65c | 34.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 35c | 34.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked ACF Fiorentina | 67c | 27.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…7a96backed ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed ACF Fiorentina | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed ACF Fiorentina | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.