Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70cd6d91b18c5273c8db6709bce3530153e690b84ab51827c89e8738036fe7bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 6,902$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.54 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 55c | 5,430$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,602$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.01 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 54c | 1,204$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.46 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 1,081$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 980.37$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.17 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 44c | 652.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 45c | 608.94$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 55c | 540.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Yes | 56c | 442.58$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 358.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 58c | 290.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 39c | 154.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 44c | 154.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 56c | 153.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 132.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Yes | 56c | 101.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 48c | 99.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 64c | 99.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 55c | 84.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…2ea7backed Yes | 59c | 83.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 56c | 81.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 72.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 56c | 70.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 56c | 69.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 47c | 63.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 51c | 62.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 56c | 60.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…538cbacked Yes | 54c | 59.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 55c | 53.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes | 56c | 49.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 66c | 45.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 55c | 39.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 58c | 39.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 44c | 38.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Yes | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Yes | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 33.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 71c | 29.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 54c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 55c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 46c | 23.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 45c | 22.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Yes | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…f4d9backed Yes | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 55c | 19.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.