Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1515758efd98184d6f9279f42c349f7036259022ffa6c694f4e4bbb63116a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,468 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b71…afd3backed No | 62c | 72,291$45,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,213.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 31,223$11,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,236.01 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 8,400$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 38c | 7,532$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,974$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 2,883$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 2,693$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.63 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 2,411$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.22 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 39c | 2,214$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.44 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 2,192$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 1,750$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.2 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 27c | 1,668$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.87 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 35c | 1,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.37 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 37c | 1,067$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 1,064$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 11c | 859.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 43c | 698.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 38c | 654.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 652.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.31 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 39c | 315.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 40c | 299.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yes | 40c | 259.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 209.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Yes | 38c | 207$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 177.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 170.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 8c | 150.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 37c | 149.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 148.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 37c | 144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 38c | 138.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 37c | 83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 40c | 75.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…3e35backed Yes | 43c | 70.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…89bcbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 39c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…5d00backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…9188backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…eadebacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c43…1e4abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed Yes | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.