Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23001e59356fc28f6f63b7cd69164b69fd9d729c0d56f5ca262ff42393648874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,896 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 2,942$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.86 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 1,827$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,482$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 74c | 851.09$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 847.47$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 78c | 779$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 23c | 648.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 635.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 556.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 498.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 427.62$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 366.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 191$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 152.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…7a56backed No | 79c | 126.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 25c | 78.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 59.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…6bb5backed No | 79c | 56.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 39.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?No won
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.