TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,896 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b71…afd3backed Yes37c256,579$93,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,869.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No64c56,053$35,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,7461442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c31,580$18,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,480.943,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No63c28,000$17,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,639.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c26,047$16,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,496.3238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No63c20,749$13,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,071.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No64c19,320$12,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,364.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No64c14,000$8,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,960425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No64c13,996$8,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,957.132951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c9,801$6,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,048.42,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No64c7,539$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.224544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c6,631$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.8476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No63c5,980$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+78.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No63c5,600$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c4,949$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No35c3,564$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.7952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c2,199$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2927644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes73c2,150$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.892458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes72c2,003$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.29668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa438…8605backed No65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes69c1,980$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.115376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No38c1,670$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No1c1,307$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No64c1,300$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8321650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes57c1,265$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes71c1,200$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.2523461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes35c1,064$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.491747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.995545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Yes70c997.55$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.891457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8946…aa24backed No64c984.38$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1247…9ce9backed Yes64c863.51$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes70c817.7$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe204…0ca8backed No64c800.86$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c797.94$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No39c772.38$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.323237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37811153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No24c590.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.93627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.244436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c576.67$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes75c533.14$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5217956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No64c524.87$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No28c512.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.562532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes76c500$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9513666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Yes61c491.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.731154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c466.58$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9212345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0507…165fbacked Yes34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes61c426.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.232552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No63c387.25$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.398355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No65c363.04$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9814963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed No64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes36c302$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1611242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c283.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.542,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes70c279.47$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.276844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked No39c253.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c252.35$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.121,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes31c251.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.721643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0705…df73backed No63c202.78$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No66c199.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9918444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes32c182.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0436136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No65c182$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.318049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes35c158.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes37c145$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.358747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b1…7a56backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No51c144.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.923956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No69c143.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.282969%20 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed No8c136.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes36c135.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.51887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.46per pick42cpaid+128.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c127.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1635158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c120.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1331849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No67c120.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.453366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5145135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No27c113.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4210544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes80c110$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c107$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.351,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No9c106.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…849cbacked Yes33c104.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.981250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No28c101.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.531127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed No64c94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.16850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No63c90.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1917249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.713036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No36c80.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1211749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No33c78.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9221835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc771…25eabacked No64c78.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.255366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54427.3%12 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No64c68.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.921957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes35c64.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a9…6bb5backed Yes73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.643100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No26c58.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2937750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed No64c58.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes71c57.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No64c54.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.