TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$405,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,929 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Under61c248,575$151,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,312.08850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Over39c82,500$32,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,1757455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c66,106$25,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,763.334,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under60c35,848$21,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,339.2410450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Under62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4006145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over39c21,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over39c17,287$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,795.9420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over40c14,120$5,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,584.342,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7503946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c12,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over39c11,795$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c11,730$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.431,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over38c10,000$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.811353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c9,246$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.593,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under71c7,632$5,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.371450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7305757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under69c6,115$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.5524147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c3,661$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over39c3,576$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.645757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Under61c3,110$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1701540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over39c2,550$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.56360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over39c2,355$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.453540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c2,226$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.6720054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under60c2,100$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.8442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under59c1,973$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c1,785$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.311,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under49c1,494$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over68c1,301$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.463868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over78c1,286$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.9569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over40c948.56$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3791,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over40c771.25$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over39c697.55$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…15d4backed Over39c679.49$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over40c658.86$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over38c658.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c527.55$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0212445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over53c504.7$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.493655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over30c504.03$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over40c493.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.832755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over41c468$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4511146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over13c467.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.955521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over43c466$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3816745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over33c450$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.252128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under48c428.35$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.481968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over39c427.34$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0320245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over39c410.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over39c395.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over39c384.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1411741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over39c360$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c351.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.514244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over39c320.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under32c316.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.912673.1%19 W · 7 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over32c314.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over26c311.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.592828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11718152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over39c280$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.521051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.510820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.520949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Over25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over40c240$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.351,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over39c219$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.414351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.