TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c8,452$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.074,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under52c6,797$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.771450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over67c4,381$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.551,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over67c3,758$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.094358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over69c3,435$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.8711146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under31c3,421$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c3,403$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.493,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over68c3,100$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.5813263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over49c3,000$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.886468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18220%0 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over68c1,461$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.574645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under27c1,086$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.645530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c996.7$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.652,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under3c763.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.272416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over52c690.49$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under32c600$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c550.05$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5384939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over58c545.19$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.561,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over63c523$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.515944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over68c516$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5526550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over47c500$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2631338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Over67c460$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.85650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1311651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over62c280.92$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.681,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over53c268.38$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.385248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over43c254.04$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.816363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c246.66$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3317455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over43c234.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8812470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xbb36…50b3backed Under24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Over67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over60c189$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3212944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over45c188.89$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8917458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under14c187.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.844524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1748934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under32c147.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under34c147.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9934044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over67c140.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c138.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.191,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under34c126.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.992931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under33c113$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.291942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3322653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0416962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under36c96.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.726056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over54c92.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.236349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under33c85.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572425%6 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Over67c82.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over71c78.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.916643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under49c70.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.744740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under39c62.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0741147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under32c59.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under31c58.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under33c58.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9046…227fbacked Over48c44.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over68c44.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.263171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under43c38.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over57c36.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over55c35.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0922366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over66c33.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f9…7196backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Over68c29.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over65c27.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6131745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…25e4backed Over65c25.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefb…79afbacked Over69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.851675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over76c24.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0674657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.063959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Over68c17.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6810248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over61c16.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.521668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over67c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.