Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c95563172ea7d31206821b9299f69e4cdf1a86836c6bea3c0b1bc420ae2235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Xtreme Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,519 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora | 55c | 53,023$28,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,058.42 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 51,528$23,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,006.3 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 42c | 19,140$8,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,076.47 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 19,108$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.32 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 47c | 14,083$6,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.95 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 12,811$6,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.76 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 55c | 11,669$6,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 53c | 11,035$5,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.53 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 52c | 9,841$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.66 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x607a…57d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 9,443$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 57c | 8,565$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.03 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 8,355$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.44 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…d109backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 7,356$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 6,995$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.01 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 6,941$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.7 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…e56fbacked Aurora | 54c | 6,706$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 6,177$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.25 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 5,918$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.6 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora | 44c | 5,799$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.69 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 5,460$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.39 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 4,632$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Aurora | 54c | 4,544$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 52c | 3,980$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.45 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 73c | 3,953$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.31 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 55c | 3,734$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.2 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 3,676$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.66 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora | 54c | 3,661$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.83 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5cf6backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,623$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Aurora | 49c | 3,616$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.59 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 3,060$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.59 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.94 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,875$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.62 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Aurora | 55c | 2,860$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…2e9abacked Aurora | 54c | 2,733$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Aurora | 54c | 2,641$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.86 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,502$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.73 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Aurora | 55c | 2,458$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.52 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,228$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.9 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Aurora | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 52c | 2,177$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.92 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,155$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,016$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.71 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Aurora | 55c | 1,830$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Aurora | 45c | 1,794$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.62 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Aurora | 54c | 1,789$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.03 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora | 63c | 1,720$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.93 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,707$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 58c | 1,704$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,592$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.17 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,500$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 46c | 1,489$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.06 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,456$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.04 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,420$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,414$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.89 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Aurora | 56c | 1,369$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.98 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,295$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.28 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,278$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Aurora | 70c | 1,264$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.06 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,168$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.08 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Aurora | 80c | 1,137$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Aurora | 57c | 1,061$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,052$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.52 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,047$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…2a0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,025$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Aurora | 54c | 1,004$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.21 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Aurora | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.13 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…5b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Aurora | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 950$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 930.4$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.91 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 911.76$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.67 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Aurora | 47c | 897.67$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.08 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 858.7$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 805.87$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Aurora | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 787.19$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.11 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 740.23$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Aurora | 54c | 736.83$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.83 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 44c | 731.5$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 725.7$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.82 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 58c | 702.63$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 55c | 688.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.62 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 49c | 672.04$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.14 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.