Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ecf14905e04203bde317c5c684c4c1082bd18c1da6c0b0b494e8a9a07b2ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Xtreme Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 48c | 31,278$15,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,120.97 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 11,117$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 8,852$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 8,519$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.25 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 5,467$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.13 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 4,750$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.68 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 4,600$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 4,095$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,602$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.02 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Aurora | 71c | 2,844$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.4 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 2,640$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,449$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.13 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 2,402$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 2,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,233$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.05 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,016$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,903$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,729$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.12 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 50c | 1,266$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Aurora | 50c | 1,171$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.39 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora | 70c | 1,143$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.15 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 989.07$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 955.52$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 815.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 709.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 703.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Aurora | 59c | 699.97$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 49c | 697.04$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.7 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 655.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 629.68$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 599.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 68c | 547.71$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 43c | 533.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 50c | 513.19$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.71 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 494.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 469.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 461$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Aurora | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 429.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Aurora | 50c | 418.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Aurora | 49c | 418.43$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 397.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 390.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 357.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 353.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 51c | 332.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked Aurora | 64c | 312.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 263.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 50c | 251.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Aurora | 71c | 247.89$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 246.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 225.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 222.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Aurora | 49c | 219.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 206.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 49c | 200.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…a7d5backed Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Aurora | 47c | 199.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Aurora | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Aurora | 51c | 193.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 179.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 177.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Aurora | 59c | 168.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Aurora | 49c | 167.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 164.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Aurora | 53c | 162.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Aurora | 53c | 159.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Aurora | 53c | 155.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Aurora | 53c | 152.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 152.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 150.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Aurora | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 138.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 129.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora | 49c | 121.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Aurora | 46c | 120.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Aurora | 49c | 118.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Aurora | 49c | 118.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.