Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a5be56bb7a02cb3242bab8bf6708a82624f896d42291b731030e1f56199c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 51c | 26,099$13,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,310.66 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 51c | 24,403$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,327.55 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20,701$10,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,443.79 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 10,448$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.67 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.97 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 13c | 5,037$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.62 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 4,564$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.64 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 54c | 4,263$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 4,031$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.92 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 40c | 3,787$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.74 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,695$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.34 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora | 35c | 3,308$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.36 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 3,155$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Aurora | 60c | 2,820$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,562$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.37 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,530$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.49 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.14 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 30c | 2,158$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.08 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Aurora | 52c | 2,078$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,953$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.23 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Aurora | 62c | 1,940$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,840$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.44 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 4c | 1,834$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,765$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.32 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,671$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.81 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,604$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.29 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,316$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.21 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 58c | 1,296$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.62 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,163$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Aurora | 10c | 1,109$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora | 41c | 1,016$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.17 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 831.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.88 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Aurora | 42c | 796.79$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 781.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.45 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Aurora | 61c | 743.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 4c | 740.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Aurora | 4c | 718.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Aurora | 21c | 671.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 671.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.32 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Aurora | 52c | 644.42$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 610$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Aurora | 56c | 603.48$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 50c | 600$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 588.8$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Aurora | 50c | 588$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 9c | 573.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Aurora | 12c | 555.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 520.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Aurora | 58c | 513.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 512$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Aurora | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Aurora | 61c | 503.84$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.15 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Aurora | 17c | 500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 500$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Aurora | 53c | 498.13$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 490.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 488.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 486.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Aurora | 52c | 477.06$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 462.19$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Aurora | 50c | 450.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 450.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Aurora | 53c | 450.19$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Aurora | 5c | 426.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…7818backed Aurora | 11c | 406.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 404.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Aurora | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…62f0backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Aurora | 61c | 384.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 372.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 372.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 56c | 369.13$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Aurora | 50c | 364.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…6eccbacked Aurora | 24c | 350.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Aurora | 50c | 350.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 339.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Aurora | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Aurora | 59c | 336.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 321.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 313.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 283.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Aurora | 24c | 276.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Aurora | 42c | 269.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 50c | 264.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed Aurora | 50c | 262.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…201abacked Aurora | 34c | 261.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…395ebacked Aurora | 51c | 258.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.