Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1209cecae8cf9e969c3cb1e075e3b5e24745acff90d95bb7fa65223f26d5b4b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,134,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 663 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 18c | 180,300$31,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,768.63 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 72c | 134,262$97,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,233.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 8c | 84,999$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 73c | 65,177$47,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,597.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 53,247$38,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,528.61 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 71c | 42,193$29,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,235.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 22,616$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.75 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 27c | 21,073$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.45 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 19,397$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.92 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 18,455$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.34 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 17,437$13,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.91 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 73c | 13,962$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 28c | 13,463$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 12,580$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.03 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 26c | 10,005$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 9,500$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.75 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 25c | 9,137$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 28c | 8,716$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.25 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 29c | 8,698$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes | 27c | 8,200$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 18c | 7,753$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 28c | 7,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 73c | 6,837$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.12 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 6,644$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.33 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 27c | 6,195$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 22c | 5,691$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 74c | 4,602$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.52 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 74c | 4,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 3,837$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.33 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 74c | 3,548$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.99 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 74c | 3,500$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 3,447$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.01 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 3,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,050$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.23 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 28c | 3,037$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…5fb6backed No | 77c | 3,017$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 28c | 2,817$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 28c | 2,803$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.96 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,745$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Yes | 28c | 2,687$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 74c | 2,645$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.24 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 9c | 2,619$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 27c | 2,520$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 9c | 2,488$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 18c | 2,460$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,216$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes | 9c | 2,200$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…baf7backed Yes | 22c | 2,156$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 2,080$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.82 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,019$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…28f1backed Yes | 27c | 1,974$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,919$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.55 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 17c | 1,897$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,642$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 72c | 1,592$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 27c | 1,572$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 29c | 1,540$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,532$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…83fabacked Yes | 13c | 1,528$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,468$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 9c | 1,444$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 15c | 1,426$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 1,377$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.94 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,334$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.09 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 73c | 1,292$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…7454backed Yes | 11c | 1,287$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 24c | 1,269$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…771dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,253$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…b9c5backed No | 72c | 1,190$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…f618backed Yes | 3c | 1,184$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 27c | 1,173$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.69 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 20c | 1,164$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b2…8f63backed Yes | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked No | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…f7fabacked Yes | 26c | 1,008$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 25c | 1,003$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.