Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743ea6cd76e117a6cee533f7c8fc6c4d36fef51cf37ac2d6114ebffaf7f851da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,967 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 95,108$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 94,009$66,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,595.66 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 75c | 41,000$30,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 75c | 38,480$28,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,620.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 26,345$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550.4 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 22,120$16,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.41 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 15,420$11,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.18 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 21c | 12,575$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 21c | 9,542$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 48c | 8,050$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 49c | 7,567$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.18 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 7,500$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 25c | 5,600$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 5,200$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 4,698$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.28 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 73c | 4,264$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes | 26c | 3,815$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 3,361$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.93 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 16c | 3,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 29c | 3,118$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 26c | 2,773$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 21c | 2,725$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 47c | 2,457$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 41c | 2,446$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Yes | 26c | 2,277$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,032$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.67 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 1,964$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 1c | 1,922$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 1,832$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 21c | 1,666$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 7c | 1,597$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,335$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…1a03backed Yes | 26c | 1,269$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,258$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 26c | 1,112$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…8260backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…bb40backed Yes | 5c | 985.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 26c | 934.62$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 925.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a10dbacked Yes | 3c | 903.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 20c | 893.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 74c | 878.37$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 861.61$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.35 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…8e5cbacked Yes | 26c | 781.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 26c | 769.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 39c | 769.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 75c | 752.92$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…3384backed Yes | 26c | 730.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 724.25$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.42 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 75c | 717$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 74c | 675.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 71c | 643.57$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…01cbbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +193.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 21c | 610.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 25c | 601$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Yes | 13c | 593.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 577.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 570.78$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 22c | 536.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 75c | 533.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 20c | 527.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 22c | 523.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 501.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 55c | 500$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 21c | 497.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 26c | 481.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 21c | 472.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…baf7backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes | 17c | 458.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 21c | 452.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 75c | 443.09$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 53c | 436.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 21c | 427.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed No | 69c | 421.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…a294backed Yes | 27c | 413.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 405.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 21c | 395.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes | 18c | 389.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.