Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6440c2d38ae5044e01ca68cf2f360d3d8eb13616d07519a2888417e1f8d9948

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $201,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	45c	154,820$69,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,403.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	55c	42,976$23,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,636.9	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-41%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under	55c	27,036$14,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,870.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	24,956$12,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,170.88	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	55c	13,710$7,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,540.74	346	43.4%150 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	55c	11,931$6,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,561.89	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50f…3e7ebacked Under	55c	7,471$4,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,109.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	55c	6,330$3,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,462.86	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over	75c	5,670$4,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.44	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under	55c	5,167$2,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,842.08	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Under	55c	4,761$2,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,618.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under	55c	3,605$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.68	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under	64c	2,828$1,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Under	52c	2,770$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	48c	2,065$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.87	106	50%53 W · 53 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under	55c	1,802$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under	55c	1,802$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	56c	1,487$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.76	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	45c	1,469$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.17	405	49.6%201 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under	55c	1,400$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.27	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	1,399$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.29	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	55c	901.22$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.67	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over	48c	895.56$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.9	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over	41c	725.51$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.05	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	55c	700$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	4c	678.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	149	36.2%54 W · 95 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over	47c	668.67$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.39	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under	60c	661.07$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.64	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	79c	630$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.3	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over	41c	561.06$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.03	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under	21c	553.09$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.62	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under	54c	550.73$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.39	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under	54c	459.28$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.83	49	73.5%36 W · 13 L	+9.4wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	43c	427.6$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.8	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	48c	414.35$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.1	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under	53c	395.93$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.8	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under	55c	360.49$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.27	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	49c	306.95$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.54	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	55c	261.26$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.69	195	42.6%83 W · 112 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	46c	257.65$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.75	111	36.9%41 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	47c	254.6$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.64	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	26c	245.39$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.76	491	37.5%184 W · 307 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under	31c	242.95$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.46	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	56c	237.03$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.74	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under	54c	229.47$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.91	139	46%64 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	44c	225.31$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.18	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+6.5wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under	55c	225.3$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.92	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	45c	222.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.72	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	47c	211.26$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.13	170	58.2%99 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	48c	205.14$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.49	232	44%102 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Over	46c	200$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under	53c	196.75$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under	53c	196.39$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	102	59.8%61 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	53c	183.05$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.63	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+6.8wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Under	54c	182.18$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	54c	168.05$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.43	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	74c	161.07$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.88	193	53.9%104 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over	47c	158.18$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.84	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over	47c	156.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.66	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	55c	155.74$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.66	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over	76c	154.45$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.52	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+7.4wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	42c	154.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.29	103	53.4%55 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over	46c	138.78$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.94	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+41%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	55c	131.87$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.94	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	55c	123.69$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.03	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	45c	119$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	372	50.5%188 W · 184 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201b…9795backed Under	23c	108.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	46c	107.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.19	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	46c	107.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9095…89bcbacked Under	53c	100.81$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under	54c	100.31$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.16	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	76c	99.36$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	267	47.2%126 W · 141 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Under	26c	99.33$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over	44c	99.14$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.52	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under	55c	99.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.52	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	53c	94.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	331	44.7%148 W · 183 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over	47c	91.89$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.7	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	54c	91.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Under	55c	88.32$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over	33c	87.59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.69	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	28c	86.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	467	42.8%200 W · 267 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	53c	84.53$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over	74c	81.06$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.08	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under	53c	74.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed Under	53c	74.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under	54c	73.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Under	56c	71.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over	47c	70.93$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.59	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	55c	69.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over	35c	68.06$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.24	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.64per pick	37cpaid	+174.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Under	55c	67.41$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over	76c	66.68$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	27c	66.08$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed Under	54c	62.54$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.77	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over	48c	61.95$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.22	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	56c	59.4$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Under	51c	58.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Under	53c	57.63$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Over won
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event