World Politics · resolved market
Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dbc37250e4e7f0b64d0d68f2f88f039029687c31be1c5ac91a166f9fc27951d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,557 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd2…cbe0backed Yes | 0c | 182,936$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ef84backed Yes | 0c | 156,546$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…95eebacked Yes | 0c | 70,960$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…5e89backed Yes | 0c | 69,585$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a829backed Yes | 0c | 66,921$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…1f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 64,832$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…3eb8backed Yes | 0c | 57,346$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…6d3dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,055$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…45bdbacked Yes | 0c | 47,952$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…40a1backed Yes | 0c | 40,206$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…1869backed Yes | 0c | 34,269$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…56acbacked Yes | 0c | 33,454$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,352$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…7950backed Yes | 0c | 26,798$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…14abbacked Yes | 0c | 6,051$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 2c | 978.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 475.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 296.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.