World Politics · resolved market
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9873e438b51f8a9586fbc0b629ca92ec74d02ac3ef809ee7842855981c5970fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,230 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 1c | 30,442$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,592$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…f3cbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 2,108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 1,922$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 1,598$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 3c | 1,501$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,356$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 3c | 1,296$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,098$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 688.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 594.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 3c | 589.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 2c | 560.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 528.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 325$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 144.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.