World Politics · resolved market
Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf762826151b1754c3e0f78bdd0354ad39a58573661dd60c8f124d0de02b70c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,372 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe102…6840backed Yes | 0c | 217,385$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…da77backed Yes | 0c | 138,551$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…0bdfbacked Yes | 0c | 90,688$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ef84backed Yes | 0c | 74,188$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…cbe0backed Yes | 0c | 35,037$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…c0b0backed Yes | 0c | 34,213$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…439fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…b4c7backed Yes | 0c | 32,232$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…3a8cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…a902backed Yes | 0c | 29,351$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…5fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 29,351$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…728bbacked Yes | 0c | 28,372$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…46d8backed Yes | 0c | 24,459$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…46f8backed Yes | 0c | 22,608$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…866fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,988$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…5706backed Yes | 0c | 19,567$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…8b09backed Yes | 0c | 19,567$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…792abacked Yes | 0c | 17,616$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…980dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,616$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…40b7backed Yes | 0c | 17,488$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…35abbacked Yes | 0c | 16,116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…de03backed Yes | 0c | 14,676$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5312…6797backed Yes | 0c | 14,676$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…a429backed Yes | 0c | 14,676$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…18f1backed Yes | 0c | 13,616$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…bbcabacked Yes | 0c | 5,060$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.