World Politics · resolved market
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a999ae98b3c9e593cbbd33e2f940df1b071ac0ab9ede42ed12eeb8f7eef461e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,284$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…d6bfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,735$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Yes | 9c | 8,000$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…d6c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,074$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…a739backed Yes | 11c | 4,386$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 4c | 4,079$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…5688backed Yes | 7c | 3,474$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,196$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 2,782$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,384$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…9683backed Yes | 1c | 2,379$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…2e83backed Yes | 4c | 2,358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 3c | 2,280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,087$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 2,077$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…c286backed Yes | 1c | 1,858$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 1,759$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 8c | 1,578$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,522$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…3621backed Yes | 2c | 1,380$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,052$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…19d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,007$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…217fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,003$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 6c | 996.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 955.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 856.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 838.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 2c | 816.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 3c | 784.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 777.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…5ebdbacked Yes | 3c | 771.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 742.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…70ccbacked Yes | 2c | 680.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 588.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…5f74backed Yes | 6c | 518.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 5c | 453.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…748ebacked Yes | 4c | 431.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…7849backed Yes | 8c | 398.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…bde0backed Yes | 4c | 345.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 9c | 340.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed Yes | 4c | 336.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…9dd9backed Yes | 7c | 306.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…8e3ebacked Yes | 8c | 240.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 224.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 215.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…9443backed Yes | 7c | 214.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 199.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…9603backed Yes | 7c | 159$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b41…df0bbacked Yes | 8c | 139$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +1,044.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…171ebacked Yes | 9c | 124.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 121.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Yes | 31c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 79c | 17.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.