Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a236259de60998658370ac63d5c46432a2655fff6d59dc6f240fbd847f3a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,548$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,967$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,501$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 61c | 1,492$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…5147backed Yes | 1c | 1,442$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 30c | 1,174$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 1,111$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 8c | 978.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 56c | 925.02$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 10c | 823.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 28c | 767.91$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.71 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 2c | 721.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 592.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 529$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 9c | 504.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 44c | 428.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 53c | 307.76$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 18c | 266.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 7c | 259.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 56c | 238.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 38c | 232.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 231$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 206.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 46c | 205.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +88%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 33c | 205.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 27c | 195.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 65c | 194.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes | 57c | 171.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 7c | 153.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 17c | 127$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…8250backed Yes | 38c | 119.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 37c | 104.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…4694backed No | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 64c | 100.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…7bbbbacked No | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 37c | 99.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 65c | 96.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…560abacked Yes | 35c | 93.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 69c | 82.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 43c | 70.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 29c | 64.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 40c | 58.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…6d80backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…42cbbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 44c | 47.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 39c | 46.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 29c | 46.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a5e6backed Yes | 57c | 28.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 27.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 72c | 25.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…b489backed No | 64c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…e4b2backed No | 63c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.