Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d346e614b2c574fff28fd2941659e6bbc9aeb92ce333b7d348aeb6aee1458b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 26c | 2,456$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.91 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…3e3abacked Yes | 79c | 1,352$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 1,233$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…9e45backed No | 21c | 819.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed Yes | 21c | 759.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.5 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 40c | 709.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.93 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 18c | 683.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.78 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 24c | 527.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Yes | 21c | 513.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Yes | 22c | 476.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Yes | 22c | 476.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0904…7c36backed No | 4c | 475.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…6327backed No | 9c | 454.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 18c | 355$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 73c | 332.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 599 | 27%162 W · 437 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 47c | 277.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 277.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked No | 71c | 275.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 23c | 270.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 256.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 24c | 231.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…dd89backed No | 25c | 213.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed No | 68c | 201.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 80c | 190.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 30c | 189.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 22c | 184.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 42c | 174.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 25c | 166.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked No | 12c | 164.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 52c | 148.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 21c | 141.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…560abacked Yes | 34c | 140.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 136.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 122.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed No | 75c | 121.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 41c | 120.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…8250backed Yes | 33c | 119.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 37c | 96.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 40c | 96.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 52c | 95.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…7292backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…6d80backed Yes | 27c | 91.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 41c | 91.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 53c | 90.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 32c | 90.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e9e8backed Yes | 38c | 87.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed No | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…c06abacked Yes | 26c | 78.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…c843backed No | 20c | 67.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…30f0backed Yes | 45c | 62.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed No | 21c | 61.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes | 57c | 59.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 51c | 55.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 24c | 51.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…1e15backed Yes | 28c | 50.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Yes | 29c | 47.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…7483backed No | 48c | 47.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 26c | 45.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 60c | 44.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 52c | 43.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 42c | 37.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 37.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…34ebbacked No | 58c | 37.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 30.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 29.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…fbb9backed Yes | 37c | 28.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0757…6daebacked Yes | 49c | 23.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 55c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 55c | 20.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…8012backed Yes | 61c | 18.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.