TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b0e…e4b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$13.14
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.73
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$8.77
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$16.33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$8.53
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.88
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.65
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.2%+$6.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.18
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.4%+$5.29
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.4%+$8.88
Mexican Open: Adam Walton vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.7%+$6.35
Mexican Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.3%+$4.7
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+57.1%+$9.44
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+41.1%+$8.22
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.8%+$8.95
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+70.8%+$10.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36%+$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.