TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kent State Golden Flashesof Central Michigan Chippewas, Kent State Golden Flashes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes34c14,428$4,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,474.865,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Central Michigan Chippewas64c5,359$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Central Michigan Chippewas65c3,539$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.912,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas56c2,707$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas40c1,911$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.194,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Central Michigan Chippewas59c1,560$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.8439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Central Michigan Chippewas14c1,287$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.231,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes40c1,283$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.661,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas77c1,201$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.521,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Central Michigan Chippewas61c1,053$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.413,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas15c951.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.762,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas59c873.97$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.951,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Central Michigan Chippewas42c842.03$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.683,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas15c699.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan Chippewas58c599.97$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes45c598.77$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3215356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Central Michigan Chippewas14c500.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas12c454.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.631,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Michigan Chippewas64c402.05$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Kent State Golden Flashes23c337.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6512540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Kent State Golden Flashes30c330.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas15c322.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3275447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c299.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7725325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas55c240.92$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kent State Golden Flashes46c225.94$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.342,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kent State Golden Flashes71c209.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.062,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes37c203.34$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.945740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Central Michigan Chippewas26c199.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.931,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Michigan Chippewas48c187.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.922,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan Chippewas44c177.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.131,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes45c162.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Michigan Chippewas48c151.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Central Michigan Chippewas80c124.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4417062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Kent State Golden Flashes23c119.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.548342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas15c100.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0538837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas15c99.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.932832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas78c98.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5410043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Kent State Golden Flashes37c93.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6370936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Central Michigan Chippewas29c84.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas15c81.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.625,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0117634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas77c77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9614451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Central Michigan Chippewas13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0125230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Kent State Golden Flashes46c74.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5524951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Central Michigan Chippewas16c62.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.033520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Kent State Golden Flashes71c59.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.287746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Central Michigan Chippewas65c58.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3633445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kent State Golden Flashes62c58.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.871,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas58c51.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7432246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Central Michigan Chippewas60c50.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.176566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Central Michigan Chippewas79c48.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.084247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Central Michigan Chippewas43c46.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.851457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas40c45.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Central Michigan Chippewas55c44.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7815240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas35c43.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.089849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Central Michigan Chippewas79c37.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.835341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17cf…ccf2backed Central Michigan Chippewas69c33.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Central Michigan Chippewas64c32.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7230945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0e…e4b2backed Kent State Golden Flashes62c31.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Central Michigan Chippewas57c27.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8615246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc250…5eafbacked Central Michigan Chippewas79c27.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.882161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa9…c178backed Central Michigan Chippewas78c25.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834281%34 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas62c24.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.