Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c9285476602bae152301a7948600b7925cc926b6d559e38419d2f0bea17a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 38c | 11,340$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.67 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 60c | 6,171$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.44 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 4c | 4,894$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 49c | 4,500$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.88 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 21c | 4,484$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.11 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 0c | 3,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed No | 4c | 3,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 50c | 2,952$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.08 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,483$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.4 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 15c | 2,356$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.32 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 52c | 2,308$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.75 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…0b74backed Yes | 39c | 2,145$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.6 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked No | 59c | 1,934$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.82 | 151 | 64.9%98 W · 53 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 1,878$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.84 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 77c | 1,765$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 72c | 1,741$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.86 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 51c | 1,727$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.36 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 25c | 1,686$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.36 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 54c | 1,677$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.31 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes | 45c | 1,611$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 48c | 1,401$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.03 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 63c | 1,250$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.69 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed No | 3c | 1,225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 49c | 1,166$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…132abacked No | 3c | 1,166$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 63c | 1,130$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.15 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…5c79backed No | 3c | 1,124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 35c | 1,079$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.22 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 31c | 994.68$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…afc0backed Yes | 59c | 984.96$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 52c | 962.66$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.33 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 47c | 915.89$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 50c | 885.8$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 26c | 857.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…b9eebacked No | 59c | 835.27$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…c836backed Yes | 73c | 800.55$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 41c | 787.28$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.4 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 41c | 751.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.78 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…41e9backed Yes | 35c | 729.57$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 713.84$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.41 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…fe01backed Yes | 60c | 701.8$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.36 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes | 40c | 689.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 3c | 635.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…5963backed Yes | 79c | 628.67$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 61c | 626.78$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes | 46c | 569.21$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.67 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 16c | 561$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 50c | 557.08$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.26 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 40c | 523.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.57 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes | 69c | 493.41$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 58c | 476.16$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 76c | 471.32$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…35d3backed No | 4c | 459.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 24c | 431.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 8c | 428$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…59c1backed Yes | 45c | 427.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…fcb4backed No | 3c | 426.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 34c | 417.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.94 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…f71dbacked No | 38c | 416.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…c635backed Yes | 66c | 401.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 71c | 393.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 44c | 376.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 38c | 373.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.78 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…cb18backed No | 21c | 365.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 38c | 361.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…c991backed Yes | 50c | 360.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.76 | 161 | 24.2%39 W · 122 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Yes | 55c | 349.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 65c | 347.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…b5a0backed Yes | 46c | 337.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 46c | 331.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 51c | 329.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 69c | 329.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 37c | 326.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 39c | 314.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Yes | 75c | 314.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 77c | 300.07$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…08e8backed Yes | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 46c | 297$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 41c | 296.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…d5cebacked No | 65c | 287.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 38c | 285.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 12c | 273.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 34c | 273.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 48c | 259.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 257.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…8b84backed Yes | 36c | 257.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…efb9backed Yes | 36c | 256.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2194…3a90backed Yes | 46c | 254.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 242.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 40c | 235$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 51c | 224.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 36c | 220$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…44edbacked Yes | 37c | 217.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed No | 49c | 212.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…008fbacked Yes | 43c | 212.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…16e7backed Yes | 58c | 212$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 58c | 207.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes | 46c | 205.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.