Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a2bbe3a3ca44bdf16a6e7e0d780cf987b35b8e33e8fba1c7cfd110fe4e0755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1e0…9937backed No | 0c | 18,002$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked No | 1c | 3,504$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…2e2bbacked No | 1c | 1,375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 66c | 1,167$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 1,016$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.41 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f154backed Yes | 49c | 989.25$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 32c | 896.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 48c | 857.03$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 56c | 847.24$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 809.2$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.67 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 3c | 684$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 47c | 683.49$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 33c | 656.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.36 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 50c | 593.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 59c | 589.11$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.14 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 43c | 538.91$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…f988backed Yes | 49c | 469.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 438.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 409.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 399.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Yes | 40c | 368.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 49c | 345.31$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 65c | 295.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 39c | 272.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 42c | 258.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d9…b543backed Yes | 44c | 231.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked Yes | 41c | 229.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes | 42c | 226.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 48c | 224.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…35a5backed Yes | 59c | 196.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Yes | 72c | 193.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 45c | 193.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 51c | 191.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked No | 56c | 183.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 180.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 39c | 177.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 43c | 176.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed No | 56c | 176.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked No | 56c | 175.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 54c | 157.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 150.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 143.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…6f82backed Yes | 51c | 139.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 41c | 123.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…7af0backed Yes | 44c | 108.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a5…9b38backed Yes | 48c | 105.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…d968backed Yes | 45c | 102.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…95f7backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…5c55backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…0685backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed No | 48c | 96.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed No | 50c | 95.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed Yes | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 45c | 94.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes | 67c | 94.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 52c | 91.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked Yes | 42c | 91.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…c2d8backed Yes | 41c | 79.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 39c | 77.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 53c | 73.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 73.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 33c | 71.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…2477backed Yes | 63c | 70.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 68.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 42c | 68.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed No | 57c | 67.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…3e9bbacked Yes | 54c | 66.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…6420backed Yes | 54c | 65.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…f3a3backed Yes | 48c | 63.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 53c | 61.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 57c | 53.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…9642backed Yes | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…560abacked Yes | 37c | 51.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 58c | 50.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…7e9bbacked No | 50c | 50.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1c…0902backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…287cbacked Yes | 40c | 49.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 49.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc7…da5cbacked Yes | 48c | 49.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…f6f8backed Yes | 48c | 49.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 50c | 48.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 39c | 48.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…6d80backed Yes | 48c | 47.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…26f0backed Yes | 41c | 45.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…6178backed No | 33c | 42.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 55c | 42.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 72c | 41.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…791dbacked Yes | 45c | 41.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.