Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e77a63c49263249e5207e885f92bf30a8bddebf87c108e6fd666f8098d930a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,750$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 44c | 1,738$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.06 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,348$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.81 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 14c | 975.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed No | 55c | 789.88$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 599.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 57c | 592.28$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.54 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 40c | 504.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 472.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 39c | 400$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked Yes | 23c | 399.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 9c | 384.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 4c | 338.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked No | 78c | 320.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed No | 78c | 295.55$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…935bbacked Yes | 5c | 295.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Yes | 11c | 292.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…e0cabacked No | 55c | 286.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 6c | 260.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ff…7be7backed Yes | 12c | 227$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 22c | 159.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 56c | 115.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 25c | 115.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 31c | 105.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…7af0backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…2400backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 44c | 94.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Yes | 33c | 90.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked Yes | 26c | 89.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 30c | 88.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…aa32backed Yes | 23c | 86.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 55c | 81.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 46c | 76.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 67.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 44c | 57.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…7689backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…062cbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…e363backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…febbbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…26f0backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1c…0902backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 70c | 48.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 47.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…1726backed Yes | 44c | 47.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…ab28backed No | 56c | 37.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed No | 76c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…1708backed Yes | 29c | 36.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed No | 58c | 28.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed Yes | 42c | 27.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 57c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…1aefbacked No | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 73cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.