TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8188…0667backed Yes1c12,778$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.29119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid-46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes7c7,205$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6231621.8%69 W · 247 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes3c2,973$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8357222%126 W · 446 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes16c2,953$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.262,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes16c2,614$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4763414.8%94 W · 540 L-1.8wins0.00per pick15cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7c…487ebacked No57c2,465$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.6812232.8%40 W · 82 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No59c1,838$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7462539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes1c1,797$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521457.6%11 W · 134 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes14c1,510$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.169330.1%28 W · 65 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes11c1,481$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0836113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ed…437dbacked Yes3c1,478$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa92c…e0cabacked Yes53c1,200$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No71c1,153$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6831565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…0829backed Yes3c996.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.861717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes2c926.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcd5…cae2backed Yes2c853.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes22c826.76$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.276417.2%11 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes13c798.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0624732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes39c759.36$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9414137.6%53 W · 88 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1849…137ebacked Yes13c724.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.682642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd815…7af0backed Yes7c699.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.45520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes6c644.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6327920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb8…f154backed Yes43c558.08$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes33c514.1$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0599619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes36c497.08$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.963151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes3c441.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.569515.8%15 W · 80 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed Yes13c426.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2819527.7%54 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed Yes47c419.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.555040%20 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes52c353.52$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.44839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes4c340.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621,6251.9%31 W · 1,594 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes35c338.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.972245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8699…dcb5backed Yes41c325.9$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes18c323.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6150319.5%98 W · 405 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes25c322.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.494131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes11c295.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6310024%24 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes51c291.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4950828.3%144 W · 364 L+1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes9c270.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6824710.9%27 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53a…62fbbacked No76c250.81$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes8c234.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.799919.2%19 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92d…4b44backed Yes28c231.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes13c219.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.519222.8%21 W · 71 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+151.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85ba…578fbacked No78c218.2$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce81…0f99backed Yes40c214.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes20c199.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5913718.2%25 W · 112 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1289…6f82backed No58c194.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c4…1008backed Yes33c186.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No70c182.62$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0926461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed No65c181.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes29c178.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4124932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd888…0471backed Yes8c175.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…45e6backed Yes18c174.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes12c165.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed No77c165.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.593740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…d968backed No60c164.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac0…071ebacked No70c161.78$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.873534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d04…0528backed Yes7c159.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes47c152.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.376821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes32c147.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.584440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes21c140.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes11c140.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0915430.5%47 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e8…dc93backed Yes33c124.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.461050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed Yes53c122.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f2…d674backed Yes36c118.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.09837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f94…0b53backed Yes40c115.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9269…5731backed Yes38c107.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.341060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes53c103.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.362832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes27c101.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0124114.1%34 W · 207 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69a5…9b38backed Yes46c101.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes39c100.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.441450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3970…f56bbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked No64c97.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2518357.9%106 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef6…3e9bbacked Yes28c96.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes42c94.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5620532.7%67 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…7217backed Yes32c94.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8710…f9c7backed Yes33c93.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes19c92.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes31c91.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9879735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes51c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4336018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes40c86.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26a4…5593backed Yes52c86.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e97…4828backed Yes31c80.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.666627.3%18 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes33c79.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0927820.9%58 W · 220 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No65c79.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0837830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf77b…42e9backed Yes36c78.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…a567backed Yes53c73.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.245418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9777…3761backed Yes38c63.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…34ebbacked No67c62.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Yes30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191d…9cafbacked Yes24c56.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes39c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6244227.4%121 W · 321 L-21.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes25c54.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62420.8%5 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb34a…6e39backed No61c52.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+83.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes25c51.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6fa…4f2dbacked No70c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.852330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.