Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ad1fc172118c471c950aade6bf07d951eb41966e31d4129500044df5dd091f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 1c | 12,778$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 7c | 7,205$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.62 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,973$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 2,953$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.26 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,614$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.47 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 57c | 2,465$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.68 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 59c | 1,838$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.74 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,797$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 145 | 7.6%11 W · 134 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 14c | 1,510$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,481$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,478$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…e0cabacked Yes | 53c | 1,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 1,153$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…0829backed Yes | 3c | 996.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 2c | 926.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd5…cae2backed Yes | 2c | 853.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 22c | 826.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 13c | 798.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 39c | 759.36$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.94 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 13c | 724.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…7af0backed Yes | 7c | 699.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 6c | 644.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f154backed Yes | 43c | 558.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 514.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 36c | 497.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 3c | 441.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 13c | 426.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 47c | 419.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 52c | 353.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 340.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes | 35c | 338.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Yes | 41c | 325.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 18c | 323.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes | 25c | 322.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 11c | 295.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 51c | 291.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 9c | 270.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked No | 76c | 250.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 8c | 234.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…4b44backed Yes | 28c | 231.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 13c | 219.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…578fbacked No | 78c | 218.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…0f99backed Yes | 40c | 214.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 20c | 199.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…6f82backed No | 58c | 194.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 33c | 186.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 182.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed No | 65c | 181.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 29c | 178.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…0471backed Yes | 8c | 175.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed Yes | 18c | 174.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 12c | 165.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…6178backed No | 77c | 165.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…d968backed No | 60c | 164.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 70c | 161.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d04…0528backed Yes | 7c | 159.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 47c | 152.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 32c | 147.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes | 21c | 140.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 11c | 140.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 33c | 124.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 53c | 122.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…d674backed Yes | 36c | 118.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 40c | 115.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 38c | 107.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 53c | 103.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 27c | 101.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a5…9b38backed Yes | 46c | 101.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 39c | 100.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…f56bbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 64c | 97.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…3e9bbacked Yes | 28c | 96.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 42c | 94.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 32c | 94.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed Yes | 33c | 93.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 19c | 92.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 91.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 40c | 86.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 52c | 86.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 31c | 80.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 33c | 79.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 65c | 79.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 36c | 78.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…a567backed Yes | 53c | 73.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 38c | 63.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…34ebbacked No | 67c | 62.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…9cafbacked Yes | 24c | 56.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 39c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 25c | 54.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…6e39backed No | 61c | 52.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 51.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…4f2dbacked No | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.