TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Yibing Wu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wuof Hijikata, Wu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…2b81backed Wu69c19,701$13,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,050.9781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wu65c18,944$12,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,589.642,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wu71c15,287$10,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.212,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hijikata35c13,779$4,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.961,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Hijikata27c13,014$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.0397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hijikata25c12,513$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.3899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hijikata33c10,082$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.1565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hijikata38c5,405$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.814,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hijikata31c4,408$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.33,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Hijikata32c2,764$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.4369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hijikata10c2,391$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.541,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Wu61c1,888$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8747057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hijikata33c1,639$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.161,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Wu59c1,618$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.0846544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hijikata27c1,448$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.821,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wu63c1,399$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.46,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Wu60c1,323$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.071,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Hijikata27c1,109$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29935730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Hijikata11c920.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hijikata41c787.53$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.864,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Hijikata30c785$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.634459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Hijikata31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.594355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Wu69c748.41$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0176546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Wu70c737.37$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.213467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Wu63c731.46$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.663435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Hijikata15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Hijikata34c582.75$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2393048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Hijikata17c564.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…35a9backed Hijikata30c524.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Hijikata40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wu64c425$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2327331.5%86 W · 187 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Wu78c381.83$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.826,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Wu62c380.49$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.949752.3%260 W · 237 L+28.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Wu69c364.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.732,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Hijikata30c339$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.738048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hijikata29c300.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2812450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wu74c277.55$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.694,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Hijikata39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2328964.4%186 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Wu70c242.27$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.279955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Wu73c234.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.064,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Wu71c218.08$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.242065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Wu62c194.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8217348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Wu70c178.64$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hijikata30c172.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8357252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Wu64c157.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7123731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hijikata27c156.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.283,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Hijikata35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Wu71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8518863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Wu72c139.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4610863.9%69 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb127…b8a2backed Wu73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…e5fbbacked Hijikata40c125.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wu70c120.4$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.121,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hijikata20c103.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.763,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hijikata29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Wu72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5777967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wu75c98.96$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.747,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Wu70c98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.499255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Hijikata19c85.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Hijikata22c75.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2712245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Wu71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Wu69c69.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.790064.3%579 W · 321 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Wu61c60.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7223653.4%126 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hijikata34c56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1936839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bee…31fdbacked Hijikata26c54.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Hijikata38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Hijikata35c50.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.764415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Hijikata30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Wu71c42.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3710063%63 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Wu71c42.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.322,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed Wu68c41.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc09f…d9d0backed Hijikata35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Hijikata41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Hijikata32c38.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.289347.3%44 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Wu71c35.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3914949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…61e2backed Wu70c31.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Wu68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4194060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Wu71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Wu80c24.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.946,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x731f…6d78backed Wu71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Wu61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.835559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0e…e4b2backed Wu76c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Wu61c19.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7753752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Wu80c19.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8243058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Wu68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1858067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.