Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc290019b6a491354610687f2572e3fe6a64af2a86fda45616911f6b57601f892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1830…1e96backed Yes | 0c | 40,256$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Yes | 7c | 12,393$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.68 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 4c | 10,787$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes | 2c | 8,339$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb51…1135backed Yes | 2c | 7,078$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 1c | 6,849$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,457$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 5,850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 23c | 5,737$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.9 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 10c | 5,370$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.02 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,646$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.99 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 6c | 4,561$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.68 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,915$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 18c | 2,838$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.71 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,754$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 2,700$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 1c | 2,488$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 2,186$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.27 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…71afbacked Yes | 7c | 2,175$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 9c | 2,143$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,065$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 9c | 1,989$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 57c | 1,953$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.92 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,923$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 10c | 1,906$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 1,896$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.94 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,871$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 79c | 1,783$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.09 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…2bdcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,654$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,496$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.12 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 11c | 1,410$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…df40backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 1,232$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 1,230$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 151 | 5.3%8 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 4c | 1,221$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243e…69debacked Yes | 42c | 1,191$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 38c | 1,191$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes | 3c | 1,101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 165 | 6.7%11 W · 154 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…c635backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 3c | 993.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…1d60backed Yes | 7c | 983.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 3c | 903$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 10c | 898.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…c134backed Yes | 4c | 873.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 41c | 863.49$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.84 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 5c | 862.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…b9eebacked No | 60c | 816$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…d5cebacked Yes | 3c | 796.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked No | 65c | 757.73$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 693.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…7908backed Yes | 3c | 690.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 41c | 688.54$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 679.4$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 45c | 666.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…5fbbbacked Yes | 2c | 645.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 625$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 9c | 616.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Yes | 20c | 599.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 43c | 594.78$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.82 | 193 | 17.6%34 W · 159 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 8c | 586.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 8c | 553.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 5c | 537.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 3c | 533.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 3c | 531.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 508.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 7c | 507.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 11c | 506.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 6c | 497.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 26c | 482.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec6…4558backed Yes | 37c | 480.15$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 36c | 477.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…2501backed Yes | 3c | 476.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 43c | 471.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 9c | 446.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…8c33backed Yes | 28c | 405.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…394dbacked Yes | 39c | 404.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 61c | 399.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…eea3backed Yes | 8c | 362.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…32e4backed Yes | 5c | 359.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…73cebacked Yes | 13c | 351.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…dfb7backed Yes | 5c | 345.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 17c | 338.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 45c | 335.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…94c7backed Yes | 3c | 334.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…12e7backed Yes | 34c | 304.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 16c | 300.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 4c | 290.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…9590backed No | 62c | 288.57$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 10c | 281.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f796backed Yes | 6c | 279.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…3fd6backed Yes | 38c | 268.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 35c | 267.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed Yes | 7c | 252.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 177 | 22.6%40 W · 137 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…6422backed Yes | 48c | 237.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 8c | 227.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.