Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11b9b870f174f07402cdf945d160017ce4b5c6d0a3347c08e06dcdbaa6cb5b3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $129,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	21c	4,879$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.18	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	23c	4,494$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.91	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	19c	3,267$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.72	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	10c	2,922$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.73	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	11c	2,298$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.56	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	3c	2,209$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.02	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	1,740$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.16	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f73…b6f9backed No	73c	1,621$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.48	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	29c	1,594$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.49	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	11c	1,574$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.92	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	32c	1,536$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.75	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	73c	1,536$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.07	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	64c	1,533$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.66	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	11c	1,514$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.78	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	22c	1,339$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.11	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	17c	1,316$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.56	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	75c	1,223$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.08	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	14c	1,190$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.38	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	34c	1,175$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.21	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	15c	1,010$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ee…c635backed Yes	36c	1,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x341c…1bd6backed Yes	25c	988.04$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Yes	35c	971.46$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.45	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes	6c	949.02$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	76c	935.83$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.55	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	15c	923.89$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.2	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7061…9233backed Yes	31c	901.89$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.29	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	33c	851.81$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.72	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes	3c	836.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked No	71c	816.18$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.32	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	35c	814.66$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.86	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	9c	811.32$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.72	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	66c	792.8$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.39	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	12c	772.1$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.51	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed No	65c	729.84$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.56	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	4c	727.54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.46	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	7c	696.32$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7684…15c4backed Yes	32c	657.88$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.16	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c4…6f6dbacked Yes	3c	651.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes	29c	600$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	193	17.6%34 W · 159 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	510.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e18…9fd6backed Yes	13c	509.85$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.34	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a03…d5cebacked No	68c	508.11$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.11	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked No	69c	505.04$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.07	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b4…53ebbacked Yes	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05c6…e674backed Yes	28c	499.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes	33c	469.1$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.54	183	21.9%40 W · 143 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	34c	466.87$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.53	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Yes	33c	369.33$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.88	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	32c	353.88$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.17	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc366…73cebacked Yes	9c	340.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	23c	334.69$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.98	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb51…1135backed Yes	35c	328.7$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc819…8c33backed Yes	30c	312.22$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.01	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	28c	308.85$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.36	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked No	71c	308.19$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.87	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	36c	306.94$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.25	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c81…bd7cbacked No	65c	301.49$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.46	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…166cbacked No	73c	299.85$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.96	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d6b…0420backed Yes	30c	295.72$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.56	101	29.7%30 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4878…dfacbacked Yes	8c	295.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	65c	289.55$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.34	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc4…cc49backed Yes	9c	280.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	28c	278.89$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.91	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff5…3fd6backed Yes	27c	266.61$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.87	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31e…ec88backed Yes	9c	247.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc2…9a95backed No	73c	236.71$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.18	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	66c	232.21$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	29c	216.86$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.19	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	10c	211.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.89	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…8386backed Yes	31c	189.68$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	35c	184.63$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.44	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes	29c	184.38$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.82	330	27.9%92 W · 238 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee65…1109backed Yes	26c	178.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4645…59babacked No	73c	177.3$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.67	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	36c	162.26$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.62	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	32c	159.63$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.27	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c45…425cbacked Yes	35c	155.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.19	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe9…ec7bbacked No	74c	153.24$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…5d81backed Yes	34c	150.72$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa151…dcc4backed Yes	31c	149.97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.49	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	31c	148.52$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.57	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fe…6791backed No	75c	142.42$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.6	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes	16c	141.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked No	70c	134.81$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.44	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad2…7e01backed Yes	29c	132.76$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	41	22%9 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d0…52f0backed Yes	26c	131.43$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.56	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	+100.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	20c	130.32$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5918…ffacbacked No	74c	128.76$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes	37c	126.62$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.85	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ec…0708backed Yes	32c	120.09$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.83	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ce…57c4backed Yes	33c	109.65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.18	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.37per pick	49cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e97…4828backed Yes	34c	105.41$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.27	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8772…7782backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event