F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95bba74ce3bcbeb16b22cdd11e93d102f5b54db7d8681cac365a550365ba1e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 29c | 2,147$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…84e0backed Yes | 74c | 1,724$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 70c | 297.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed Yes | 65c | 232.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 39c | 204.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 31c | 173.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 33c | 161.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 60c | 148.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 69c | 145.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…143bbacked Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 30c | 102.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 21c | 90.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 33c | 83.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…5136backed Yes | 66c | 76.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc8…0f79backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…6b4dbacked Yes | 74c | 67.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 27c | 67.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…8d8abacked Yes | 52c | 65.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb50…0f80backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed No | 43c | 54.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 30c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…453bbacked Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…dc76backed No | 42c | 48.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4716backed Yes | 78c | 45.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 42c | 37.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…da31backed Yes | 62c | 35.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 78c | 31.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…6968backed Yes | 69c | 28.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…ce46backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?this page
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.