F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275b48d3816b2d02e4fba2226450354552f92b631dc8cf3989bd71cd4caba5d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 9,011$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.98 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 980.32$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 20c | 725.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 27c | 584.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 72c | 508.93$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 28c | 363.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed No | 79c | 253.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…b083backed Yes | 26c | 228.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…446bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 68c | 168.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…cd14backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…8762backed Yes | 25c | 99.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes | 21c | 82.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…58aabacked Yes | 34c | 59.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 51c | 59.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8c…ad03backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…f451backed Yes | 27c | 58.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.