F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4672dcdcaa6655f77d6b2a7fe9306893d6fef448b46a66e4452cb9b5bad757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 70c | 4,703$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 71c | 1,052$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…51e6backed Yes | 51c | 983.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…c251backed Yes | 21c | 170.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 17c | 134.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 24c | 53.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0d5bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…1f1dbacked Yes | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked No | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 69c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 76c | 17.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.