Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66dc31c8bae61b2bf31a7dae377618ebf1669ef58b26707f4cb726f623341623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $901,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $858,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6442…2af7backed No | 43c | 95,530$41,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,452.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…94f1backed Yes | 57c | 95,530$54,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,452.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…0e52backed Yes | 42c | 71,103$29,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,863.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…623dbacked No | 58c | 71,103$41,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,863.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…06a7backed No | 21c | 48,429$10,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,258.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…6466backed Yes | 79c | 48,429$38,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,258.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked No | 41c | 32,182$13,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,143.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…cd2cbacked Yes | 58c | 22,900$13,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,282 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8f…0e47backed No | 42c | 22,900$9,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 19c | 17,928$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 35c | 16,674$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,817.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…dd51backed Yes | 79c | 16,148$12,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,810.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 62c | 13,230$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 38c | 12,509$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,729.08 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 60c | 9,090$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 0c | 8,584$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 66c | 7,670$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 72c | 7,305$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 33c | 6,816$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 25c | 6,281$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 68c | 6,270$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.37 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 60c | 5,432$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.31 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…9808backed Yes | 0c | 3,639$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…7e88backed Yes | 69c | 3,242$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed No | 54c | 3,177$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 32c | 2,986$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 2,892$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…339fbacked No | 17c | 2,821$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +118%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 28c | 2,806$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 10c | 2,786$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 12c | 2,604$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.47 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…3b76backed No | 13c | 2,396$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +698.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…61cabacked No | 23c | 2,039$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 61c | 2,036$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.11 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1,104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 44c | 2,033$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…eaa4backed No | 50c | 1,982$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 56c | 1,973$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.97 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,942$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked No | 76c | 1,863$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.11 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed No | 50c | 1,848$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 59c | 1,808$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.89 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 23c | 1,802$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 33c | 1,797$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 66c | 1,791$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 57c | 1,750$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 59c | 1,585$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…e1cfbacked Yes | 63c | 1,578$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,571$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked No | 40c | 1,529$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,460$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 42c | 1,444$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 52c | 1,434$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…1682backed No | 14c | 1,350$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +596.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 45c | 1,301$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…0221backed No | 16c | 1,274$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +285.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 18c | 1,226$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,220$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked No | 58c | 1,188$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 54c | 1,171$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…bae4backed No | 18c | 1,158$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 41c | 1,149$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…49f9backed Yes | 59c | 1,129$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ff3dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,098$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…502bbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…7898backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…9507backed Yes | 61c | 977.67$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…3bf2backed Yes | 57c | 967.68$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 67c | 966.12$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f7…2a71backed Yes | 59c | 964.72$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…b472backed Yes | 51c | 947.43$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 54c | 946.1$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…954bbacked Yes | 53c | 935.39$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 41c | 924$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 55c | 917.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…237cbacked No | 9c | 913.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +507.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 18c | 900$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…c1ffbacked No | 41c | 880$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…6d01backed No | 22c | 833.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…b082backed Yes | 2c | 825.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…2b93backed Yes | 2c | 820.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 39c | 799.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 790.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.14 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 49c | 784.56$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…d037backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…9f01backed No | 22c | 683.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +357.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 10c | 606.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 26c | 599.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…51a1backed No | 18c | 575.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked No | 51c | 573.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 15c | 545$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…f523backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 41c | 499.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 498.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 28c | 495.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?this page
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?No won
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?No won
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No won
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.